Twelve Federal Reserve banks. Qualitative commentary from the people who actually run businesses in each district. No spin, no revisions. Coded for the small-business cut, the read across nine of twelve districts was negative. The headline rate hides it.
| District | Small-business read | Commentary (paraphrased from district report) |
|---|---|---|
| 01 · Boston | Negative | Activity declined slightly; small retailers reported softer foot traffic and price-sensitive customers. |
| 02 · New York | Negative | Activity continued to decline modestly; service-sector activity declined moderately and input prices picked up. |
| 03 · Philadelphia | Neutral | Activity grew slightly, down from a modest pace; employment declined slightly and cost pressures increased. |
| 04 · Cleveland | Negative | Business activity grew modestly overall, but retailers saw modest declines amid higher fuel prices. |
| 05 · Richmond | Neutral | Regional economy continued to grow modestly; small-business pressures not flagged in district summary. |
| 06 · Atlanta | Positive | Most sectors grew slightly; modest expansion led by tourism and services, healthcare hiring brisk. |
| 07 · Chicago | Negative | Small businesses observed lower foot traffic along commercial corridors in immigrant communities. |
| 08 · St. Louis | Negative | Activity unchanged; early-stage credit weakness emerged for small business borrowers tied to input costs. |
| 09 · Minneapolis | Negative | Activity grew slightly; consumer spending and services were flat, freight costs rose with diesel prices. |
| 10 · Kansas City | Negative | Small businesses reported increasing cost pressures and softer expected holiday sales. |
| 11 · Dallas | Negative | Activity rose slightly; service-sector activity was nearly flat, manufacturing growth moderated. |
| 12 · San Francisco | Negative | Activity was somewhat subdued but largely stable; tech-adjacent services demand softened. |
| 12-district summary | 9 negative · 2 neutral · 1 positive | Three quarters of the country's regional economies coded negative on the small-business cut. |